Hostage to Fortune (2)

Since Rudy's departure has blown away my first prediction for the presidential race (Clinton v. Giuliani; Giuliani wins), it's time for another one.

The first guess was made between Iowa and New Hampshire. This one comes after Florida and before Super-etc. Tuesday. Hillary still seems to have the better odds on the Left, but McCain has been winning media mind-share, so:

Clinton v. McCain; McCain wins.

It's a toss-up among the Democrats. There is another strong possibility:

Obama v. McCain. Obama wins, but is assassinated within two years.

Of course, the Dems may self-destruct at the convention with an Obama/Clinton tie, leading to a brokered nomination:

Gore v. Any Republican; Any Republican wins.