The world is a lot less predictable than our memories make it out to be.
To make this a little more more visible to myself, I'm going to record my predictions along the way. (Feel free to join in.)
Today, just before the Iowa caucuses, my forecast is:
Clinton v. Giuliani; Giuliani wins."He that hath wife and children hath given hostages to fortune; for they are impediments to great enterprises, either of virtue or mischief." Attributed to Francis Bacon (1561-1626), "Of Marriage and Single Life".